Winter storm: How much snow will we get? When will it start?

Significant snowfall could impact travel through Monday
A plow clears Elk Creek Road after several inches of snow fell Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2025 in Madison Township in Butler County. NICK GRAHAM/STAFF

Credit: Nick Graham

Credit: Nick Graham

A plow clears Elk Creek Road after several inches of snow fell Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2025 in Madison Township in Butler County. NICK GRAHAM/STAFF

A major winter storm is expected to bring significant snowfall and bitterly cold temperatures to the region this weekend.

A winter storm watch will be in effect from 7 a.m. Saturday until 1 a.m. Monday for the Miami Valley.

While there is some uncertainty with snow totals, as of Thursday afternoon most communities have a strong chance of receiving at least 8 inches of snow between Saturday afternoon and Sunday night, according to the National Weather Service in Wilmington.

Dayton has an 83% chance of at least 8 inches of snowfall and Hamilton has an 85% chance.

Areas near and southeast of Interstate 71 could see more than 8 inches of snow, according to the NWS.

Snow chances begin Saturday afternoon, with snow showers peaking Saturday night into Sunday morning, according to the NWS. Snowfall will slowly taper off on Sunday.

There are two points of uncertainty, the NWS said. Some models show a lighter initial wave or lull on Sunday before a heavier round of snow moves in, which could reduce snow totals by an inch or two.

The other point is the chance for a warm air aloft, decreasing the snow ratios or even causing sleet to mix in, according to the NWS.

However, an extended period of snowfall is still expected. Some areas could see as much as a foot of snow.

“While events of that magnitude are rare, snowfall totals that high are absolutely in the realm of possibility with this storm,” the NWS said.

Hazardous road conditions are expected due to the snow and travel impacts could continue through Monday.

The NWS said bitterly cold temperatures Sunday into Monday will make it harder to clear snow, adding to travel issues.

Those who must travel should prepare a winter storm kit before hitting the road and remain weather aware.

Frigid temperatures with harsh wind chills also return this weekend and will last through most of next week. There will be multiple periods with temperatures close to zero with sub-zero wind chills, the NWS said.

Highs will be in the low teens on Saturday, but temperatures will feel closer to 3 degrees.

Temperatures will reach the low 20s on Sunday, but will feel like 7 degrees

Daytime highs will struggle to get out of the teens for most of the work week and lows will be around zero. People should start preparing for the extreme cold and plan to check on loved ones and neighbors who are vulnerable.

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